← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 73% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Waregem win | 9% | 10.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Waregem −1.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Enrique Lofolomo · Waregem |
| 36' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | ⚽ | Anan Khalaili · St. Gilloise |
| 79' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Laurent Lemoine · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| coach days | 172.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1816.76 | 1478.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.28 | 6.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -0.30 |
| solidity v1 | 1.08 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 0.93 |