← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Letellier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| RAAL La Louviere win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| RAAL La Louviere −0.75 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (og) | Maxence Maisonneuve · Westerlo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Isa Sakamoto · Westerlo |
| 88' | ⚽ | Pape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louviere |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adedire Mebude · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | RAAL La Louviere |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 172.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1564.32 | 1510.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.24 | -31.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -1.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.41 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.19 | 1.01 |