← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 19, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 36% | 2.55 |
| Charleroi win | 35% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Charleroi +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 23' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Charleroi |
| 42' | ⚽ | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 69' | ⚽ | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 73' | 🟨 | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 89' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 171.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1542.83 | 1654.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.20 | -24.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 21.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 5.09 | 5.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 19.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 1.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.88 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.46 |