← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 14, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Allaerts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Westerlo win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Genk −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 72' | 🟥 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lucas Mbamba · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 166.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1658.59 | 1560.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.55 | -2.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 7.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.79 |
| solidity v1 | -0.30 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 2.21 |