← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 14, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Charleroi win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Charleroi +0.5 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 48' | 🟨 | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 81' | ⚽ | Antoine Colassin · Charleroi |
| 84' | 🟨 | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.08 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 166.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1537.12 | 1822.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.06 | -17.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.70 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 20.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 8.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 1.23 |
| solidity v1 | 0.71 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 2.31 |