← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Antwerp win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Antwerp −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
| 74' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 83' | ⚽ | Anthony Valencia · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟥 | Michał Skóraś · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 166.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1524.19 | 1592.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.18 | 47.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| league points | 24.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | -0.78 |
| solidity v1 | -0.84 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.27 |