← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Wesli De Cremer, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| RAAL La Louviere win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| RAAL La Louviere −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Tochukwu Nnadi · Waregem |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Anton Tanghe · Waregem |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louviere |
| 76' | ⚽ | Joseph Opoku · Waregem |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sami Lahssaini · RAAL La Louviere |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oucasse Mendy · RAAL La Louviere |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nolan Gillot · RAAL La Louviere |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | RAAL La Louviere |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 165.00 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| 165.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1479.50 | 1509.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.81 | -20.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 26.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -1.35 |
| solidity v1 | -1.12 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.13 | 1.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.95 |