← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Kevin van Damme, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 58% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Mechelen win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −0.75 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Mechelen −0.75 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Ian Struyf · Mechelen |
| 35' | ⚽ | Fredrik Hammar · Mechelen |
| 39' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 47' | ⚽ | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 49' | ⚽ | Gora Diouf · Mechelen |
| 83' | 🟨 | Christiaan Ravych · Club Brugge |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tommy St. Jago · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Gary Magnee · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| coach days | 103.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1567.90 | 1578.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.45 | 2.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.80 |
| league points | 42.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.41 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.07 |