← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lawrence Visser, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 40% | 2.35 |
| Westerlo win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Arthur Piedfort · Westerlo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Lucas Mbamba · Westerlo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 34' | ⚽ | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 57' | ⚽ | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tuur Rommens · Westerlo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 159.00 | 159.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1537.73 | 1664.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.56 | 54.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.81 |
| league points | 21.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.12 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.25 | 1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.97 | 1.39 |