← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bert Verbeke, Netherlands
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Standard win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Standard |
| 32' | ⚽ | Timothee Nkada · Standard |
| 39' | ⚽ (og) | Edgaras Utkus · Standard |
| 82' | ⚽ | Oluwaseun Adewumi · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Léandre Kuavita · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.83 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| coach days | 96.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1590.13 | 1503.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.84 | 7.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 42.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 0.04 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 22.92 | 24.89 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.19 |