← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Dender win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Dender −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 32' | ⚽ | Pape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louviere |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louviere |
| 52' | ⚽ | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 77' | 🟨 | Guillaume Dietsch · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RAAL La Louviere | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Easi Arena |
| coach days | 157.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 1.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1523.31 | 1433.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.18 | 15.05 |
| eye test v1 | -1.27 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 30.40 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.97 | -0.59 |
| solidity v1 | -0.52 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.75 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.36 |