← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: Lawrence Visser, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 43% | 2.15 |
| St Truiden win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Gent −0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St Truiden |
| 21' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Gent |
| 55' | 🟨 | Shogo Taniguchi · St Truiden |
| 59' | ⚽ | Arbnor Muja · St Truiden |
| 63' | 🟨 | Matties Volckaert · Gent |
| 66' | ⚽ | Keisuke Goto · St Truiden |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tibe De Vlieger · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 152.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1526.83 | 1567.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.80 | 32.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.72 |
| league points | 23.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 1.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.04 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.91 |