← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Anderlecht win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Kamiel Van de Perre · St. Gilloise |
| 11' | ⚽ | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
| 25' | 🟨 | Anouar Ait El Hadj · St. Gilloise |
| 29' | 🟨 | Nathan De Cat · Anderlecht |
| 69' | 🟨 | Anan Khalaili · St. Gilloise |
| 74' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Giger · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 152.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1651.10 | 1844.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.90 | 11.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| league points | 32.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.83 |
| solidity v1 | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | 1.09 | 1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 2.22 |