← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Massimiliano Ledda,
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Waregem win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Waregem +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Anton Tanghe · Waregem |
| 32' | 🟨 | Thomas Claes · Waregem |
| 35' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakité · Club Brugge |
| 46' | ⚽ (og) | Anton Tanghe · Club Brugge |
| 76' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 151.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1474.09 | 1605.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.83 | -36.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.59 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 23.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.70 |
| solidity v1 | -1.80 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 22.92 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.61 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 1.86 |