← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Wesli De Cremer, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Dender win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender −0.5 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Dennis Praet · Antwerp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 50' | ⚽ | David Toševski · Dender |
| 57' | 🟨 | Noah Mbamba · Dender |
| 61' | 🟨 | Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni · Dender |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alireza Jahanbakhsh · Dender |
| 76' | ⚽ | Boubakar Kouyaté · Antwerp |
| 88' | ⚽ | Ragnar Oratmangoen · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 145.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1557.42 | 1417.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.97 | -10.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 14.80 | 15.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.55 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.13 | -1.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.99 |