← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Bert Put, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Gent win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Westerlo −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nacho Ferri · Westerlo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Atsuki Ito · Gent |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mathias Delorge · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 144.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 6.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1541.23 | 1524.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.77 | -46.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| solidity v1 | 0.09 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.59 |