← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 63% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Club Brugge win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −1.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Christiaan Ravych · Club Brugge |
| 21' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 28' | 🟨 | Louis Patris · St. Gilloise |
| 39' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 41' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 61' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 68' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · St. Gilloise |
| 79' | ⚽ | Raul Florucz · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| coach days | 144.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1839.43 | 1602.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.50 | -47.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.66 |
| league points | 36.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 12.86 | 13.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.72 |
| solidity v1 | 0.95 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 22.92 |
| state index | 1.29 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 1.84 |