← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Jan Boterberg, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Gent win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Genk +0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Josue Ndenge Kongolo · Genk |
| 24' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
| 56' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 59' | 🟨 | Maksim Paskotsi · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tiago Araújo · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.62 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 131.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1521.67 | 1688.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.24 | 19.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| league points | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | -0.80 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 1.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.06 |