← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Standard win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| St Truiden −0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | ⚽ | Keisuke Goto · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Henry · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen |
| coach days | 131.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.69 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1540.60 | 1498.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.75 | -2.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 8.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | -0.93 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 24.89 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.11 | 0.91 |