← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Bert Verbeke, Netherlands
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Westerlo win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Charleroi −0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 64' | 🟨 | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 70' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Charleroi |
| 78' | 🟨 | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 82' | 🟨 | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 130.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1544.18 | 1554.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.04 | 3.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.84 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| league points | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.34 |