← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Antwerp win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.5 | 55% | 1.70 |
| St Truiden −0.5 | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Arbnor Muja · St Truiden |
| 16' | ⚽ | Ryotaro Ito · St Truiden |
| 17' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Diawara · Antwerp |
| 22' | 🟥 | Daam Foulon · Antwerp |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mauricio Benitez · Antwerp |
| 71' | 🟨 | Keisuke Goto · St Truiden |
| 84' | 🟨 | Léo Kokubo · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen |
| coach days | 124.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1531.68 | 1554.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.37 | -45.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.97 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.83 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 0.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.20 |