← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 2, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Michiel Allaerts, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Westerlo win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Genk +0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under | 35% | 2.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jusef Erabi · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 124.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1598.29 | 1694.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.18 | -13.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 7.94 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 1.11 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 23.06 | 25.33 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 1.35 |