← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Mechelen win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Anderlecht −1.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht |
| 20' | ⚽ | Mathis Servais · Mechelen |
| 25' | ⚽ | — · Anderlecht |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dikeni Salifou · Mechelen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 123.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1609.90 | 1575.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.64 | -2.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 7.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 2.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.17 |