← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Waregem win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +1 | 57% | 1.65 |
| St. Gilloise +1 | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Tochukwu Nnadi · Waregem |
| 38' | ⚽ | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
| 43' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 44' | 🟨 | Kamiel Van de Perre · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marc Giger · St. Gilloise |
| 46' | ⚽ | Marc Giger · St. Gilloise |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Jeppe Erenbjerg · Waregem |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 81' | 🟨 | Adem Zorgane · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 123.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1476.89 | 1839.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 66.29 | -13.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 21.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.36 |
| solidity v1 | 0.53 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.18 |