← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 31, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Eric Lambrechts, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 35% | 2.63 |
| Standard win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Standard +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Karamoko · Standard |
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Mardochee Nzita · Standard |
| 40' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 47' | ⚽ | Thomas Henry · Standard |
| 55' | 🟨 | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 58' | ⚽ | Rafiki Saïd · Standard |
| 83' | 🟨 | Léandre Kuavita · Standard |
| 88' | 🟨 | Yassine Khalifi · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aiham Ousou · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Maurice Dufrasnestadion |
| coach days | 122.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1482.54 | 1559.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.46 | -35.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -0.60 |
| solidity v1 | -0.52 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.89 | — |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |