← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 26, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.12 |
| St Truiden win | 13% | 8.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| St Truiden −1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Ilias Sebaoui · St Truiden |
| 25' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · St Truiden |
| 64' | ⚽ | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
| 78' | 🟨 | Anouar Ait El Hadj · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| coach days | 117.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1836.50 | 1535.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.91 | 2.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.73 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 7.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.23 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 1.35 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 1.25 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.53 | 1.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.52 |