← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Bert Verbeke, Netherlands
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 |
| RAAL La Louviere win | 17% | 6.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere −1 | 50% | 2.08 |
| Genk −1 | 50% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 2.00 |
| Under | 49% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Jordi Liongola · RAAL La Louviere |
| 41' | ⚽ | Daan Heymans · Genk |
| 43' | 🟨 | Wagane Faye · RAAL La Louviere |
| 44' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Genk |
| 63' | 🟨 | Oucasse Mendy · RAAL La Louviere |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mohamed Guindo · RAAL La Louviere |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | RAAL La Louviere |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 117.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1671.16 | 1524.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.01 | 15.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| league points | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 35.20 |
| rest days | 3.03 | 8.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -1.44 |
| solidity v1 | -0.53 | 1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 0.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 0.91 |