← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Standard win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Gent −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Siebe Van Der Heyden · Gent |
| 17' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 45' | ⚽ | Siebe Van Der Heyden · Gent |
| 66' | 🟨 | Casper Nielsen · Standard |
| 83' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 89' | 🟨 | Timothee Nkada · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 116.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1550.63 | 1495.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.02 | 15.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| league points | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.06 | 5.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -1.11 |
| solidity v1 | -1.04 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 24.89 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 0.77 |