← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 24, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Lawrence Visser, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 39% | 2.63 |
| Charleroi win | 33% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0 | 54% | 1.90 |
| Charleroi +0 | 46% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.94 |
| Over | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 82' | ⚽ | Cheick Keita · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 115.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1549.62 | 1620.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.38 | 5.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.69 | 1.36 |