← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Mon, Oct 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Antwerp win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Standard −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Rafiki Saïd · Standard |
| 39' | 🟥 | Adnane Abid · Standard |
| 41' | 🟨 | Christopher Scott · Antwerp |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ibe Hautekiet · Standard |
| 63' | 🟨 | Isaac Babadi · Antwerp |
| 72' | 🟨 | Rafiki Saïd · Standard |
| 86' | 🟨 | Zeno Van Den Bosch · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Maurice Dufrasnestadion |
| coach days | 111.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1484.28 | 1579.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.54 | -48.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 15.06 | 15.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -0.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.01 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.89 | — |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 1.26 |