← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 19, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Eric Lambrechts, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Gent win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Gent +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Thomas Claes · Waregem |
| 25' | ⚽ (og) | Tiago Araújo · Waregem |
| 41' | ⚽ | Benoit Nyssen · Waregem |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jean-Kévin Duverne · Gent |
| 60' | 🟨 | Tiago Araújo · Gent |
| 78' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jeppe Erenbjerg · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 12 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 110.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1450.26 | 1571.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 73.13 | 47.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.40 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 15.04 | 15.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| solidity v1 | 0.55 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.41 |