← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Antwerp win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Antwerp +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Lawrence Agyekum · Club Brugge |
| 24' | 🟨 | Farouck Adekami · Antwerp |
| 28' | ⚽ | Mauricio Benitez · Antwerp |
| 41' | ⚽ | Oumar Diakité · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 95.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1579.75 | 1627.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.14 | -10.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | -1.10 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 22.92 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.89 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 2.00 |