← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Kevin van Damme, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Waregem win | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| RAAL La Louviere −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jordi Liongola · RAAL La Louviere |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louviere |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jakob Kiilerich · Waregem |
| 69' | 🟨 | Anosike Ementa · Waregem |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jeppe Erenbjerg · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RAAL La Louviere | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Easi Arena |
| coach days | 95.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1537.50 | 1470.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.96 | 68.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.33 | 70.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.65 |
| league points | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.74 | 0.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.56 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 23.82 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.45 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 1.21 |