← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bert Put, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Gent win | 32% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.25 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Club Brugge −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Michał Skóraś · Gent |
| 20' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · Gent |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Steve Ngoura · Club Brugge |
| 29' | 🟨 | Oluwaseun Adewumi · Club Brugge |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jean-Kévin Duverne · Gent |
| 43' | ⚽ | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Edan Diop · Club Brugge |
| 45' | ⚽ | Atsuki Ito · Gent |
| 48' | 🟨 | Abdelkahar Kadri · Gent |
| 69' | ⚽ | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
| 87' | ⚽ | Franck Surdez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| coach days | 27.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1649.13 | 1541.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.49 | 26.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| league points | 23.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 0.91 | 4.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -0.09 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 22.92 | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 1.30 |