← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 70% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.96 |
| Westerlo win | 13% | 8.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −1.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| St. Gilloise −1.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · St. Gilloise |
| 63' | 🟨 | Andreas Jungdal · Westerlo |
| 63' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 64' | 🟨 | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 77' | 🟨 | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
| 78' | ⚽ | Marc Giger · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kamiel Van de Perre · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| coach days | 88.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1853.07 | 1553.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.45 | 29.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | 1.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.65 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.91 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.52 |
| league points | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 6.30 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.56 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 1.59 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.90 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| state index | 1.63 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -1.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.53 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.11 |