← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bert Verbeke, Netherlands
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 41% | 2.45 |
| Antwerp win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Waregem −0.25 | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Yuto Tsunashima · Antwerp |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jeppe Erenbjerg · Waregem |
| 84' | ⚽ | Marley Aké · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 88.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1426.67 | 1599.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.97 | -21.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 71.90 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.12 |
| solidity v1 | -0.13 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.11 |