← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| Gent win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.75 | 52% | 1.94 |
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Abdelkahar Kadri · Gent |
| 57' | 🟨 | Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mario Stroeykens · Anderlecht |
| 74' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Gent |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marco Kana · Anderlecht |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jean-Kévin Duverne · Gent |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 84.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1615.05 | 1547.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.10 | 36.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.66 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 2.99 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.17 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 25.13 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.38 |