← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Kevin van Damme, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 50% | 1.90 |
| Standard win | 25% | 4.04 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Standard −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Casper Nielsen · Standard |
| 36' | 🟨 | Adnane Abid · Standard |
| 40' | ⚽ | Adnane Abid · Standard |
| 47' | 🟨 | Henry Lawrence · Standard |
| 84' | 🟨 | Thomas Henry · Standard |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Karamoko · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hakim Sahabo · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 82.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1562.53 | 1479.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.61 | -32.64 |
| eye test v1 | 1.03 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 6.86 | 8.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.56 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | — | 24.89 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 1.00 |