← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Eric Lambrechts, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 56% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Antwerp win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 51% | 2.02 |
| Antwerp −0.75 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.88 |
| Under | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Marwan Alsahafi · Antwerp |
| 52' | 🟨 | César Huerta · Anderlecht |
| 59' | 🟨 | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Boubakar Kouyaté · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 81.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1617.32 | 1597.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.40 | -16.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| solidity v1 | -0.04 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.42 |