← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Jan Boterberg, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
| Dender win | 19% | 5.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Dender −0.75 | 47% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Gent |
| 32' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 48' | ⚽ | Wilfried Kanga · Gent |
| 52' | 🟨 | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 83' | ⚽ | Abdelkahar Kadri · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 80.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1537.61 | 1439.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.84 | -45.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.30 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -0.89 |
| solidity v1 | -0.52 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | 0.22 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 0.46 |