← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Wed, Sep 17, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.26 |
| Charleroi win | 19% | 5.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Genk −1 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Charleroi |
| 45' | 🟨 | Etienne Camara · Charleroi |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lewin Blum · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 78.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1680.31 | 1581.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.15 | 7.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| league points | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | -0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 0.68 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.11 |