← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Charleroi win | 27% | 3.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Patrick Pflücke · Charleroi |
| 39' | ⚽ | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 51' | 🟨 | Aiham Ousou · Charleroi |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Steve Ngoura · Club Brugge |
| 56' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Charleroi |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Pieter Gerkens · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Etienne Camara · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| coach days | 13.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1651.62 | 1567.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.44 | -18.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 0.80 | 14.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.29 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 0.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.16 |