← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Lawrence Visser, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Gent win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Antwerp −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.80 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟥 | Samuel Kotto · Gent |
| 17' | 🟨 | Yuto Tsunashima · Antwerp |
| 29' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Antwerp |
| 31' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · Gent |
| 36' | ⚽ | Rosen Bozhinov · Antwerp |
| 45' | ⚽ | Michał Skóraś · Gent |
| 47' | ⚽ | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jean-Kévin Duverne · Gent |
| 74' | 🟨 | Youssef Hamdaoui · Antwerp |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marwan Alsahafi · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 75.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1611.20 | 1523.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.29 | 16.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| league points | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 14.80 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -0.40 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.34 |