← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 31, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Anderlecht win | 19% | 5.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 47% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (pen) | Raul Florucz · St. Gilloise |
| 38' | 🟨 | César Huerta · Anderlecht |
| 51' | 🟨 | Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht |
| 52' | 🟨 | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
| 72' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht |
| 81' | 🟥 | Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
| 83' | 🟥 | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mathias Rasmussen · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Marien |
| Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| coach days | 61.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1838.88 | 1622.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.71 | -28.56 |
| eye test v1 | 1.92 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 2.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| solidity v1 | 1.66 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | 1.70 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.57 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.57 | 2.16 |