← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Massimiliano Ledda,
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 |
| RAAL La Louviere win | 25% | 4.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere −0.5 | 51% | 2.00 |
| Mechelen −0.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 69' | ⚽ (og) | Ortwin De Wolf · RAAL La Louviere |
| 86' | ⚽ (og) | Redouane Halhal · RAAL La Louviere |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | RAAL La Louviere |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 60.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.71 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1572.88 | 1485.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.86 | -14.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.81 |
| league points | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 34.00 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -1.85 |
| solidity v1 | -0.47 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | — |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.67 |