← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 29, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 46% | 2.07 |
| St Truiden win | 27% | 3.64 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
| 38' | ⚽ | Ilias Sebaoui · St Truiden |
| 58' | 🟨 | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St Truiden |
| 79' | 🟨 | Maxime Delanghe · Club Brugge |
| 80' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| coach days | 59.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1672.55 | 1548.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.62 | 46.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 2.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.88 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 0.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.80 |