← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 69% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.22 |
| RAAL La Louviere win | 12% | 9.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +1.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| RAAL La Louviere +1.25 | 48% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Jordi Liongola · RAAL La Louviere |
| 29' | 🟨 | Owen Maes · RAAL La Louviere |
| 33' | 🟨 | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Niang · St. Gilloise |
| 82' | 🟨 | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RAAL La Louviere | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.80 |
| venue | Easi Arena |
| coach days | 54.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.69 |
| elo | 1478.11 | 1845.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | 9.06 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | 2.10 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.25 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| league points | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.50 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 2.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | 1.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.48 | 1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.25 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 9.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.50 | 8.40 |
| state index | -0.24 | 1.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.47 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 0.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 2.78 |