← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Mechelen win | 25% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Therence Koudou · Mechelen |
| 27' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Antwerp |
| 31' | 🟨 | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 54' | 🟥 | Dennis Praet · Antwerp |
| 80' | ⚽ | Mahamadou Doumbia · Antwerp |
| 87' | 🟨 | Therence Koudou · Mechelen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Fredrik Hammar · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 25 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 13 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 54.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| elo | 1620.89 | 1580.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.33 | 32.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 7.80 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -13.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | 0.10 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.03 |