β Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 Β· Sat, Aug 23, 04:15 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Standard win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Standard +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | β½ | Edan Diop Β· Club Brugge |
| 37' | π¨ | Gary Magnee Β· Club Brugge |
| 45' | π¨ | Marco Ilaimaharitra Β· Standard |
| 45' | β½ | Steve Ngoura Β· Club Brugge |
| 45' | β½ | Edgaras Utkus Β· Club Brugge |
| 63' | π¨ | Steve Ngoura Β· Club Brugge |
| 73' | π¨ | Hannes Van Der Bruggen Β· Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Maurice Dufrasnestadion |
| coach days | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1509.18 | 1659.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.76 | -23.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 5.96 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.08 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 22.92 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.59 |