← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 17, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Letellier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Westerlo win | 29% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Westerlo −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.67 |
| Under | 41% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Pieter Gerkens · Club Brugge |
| 37' | ⚽ | Alan Minda · Club Brugge |
| 45' | ⚽ | Steve Ngoura · Club Brugge |
| 70' | ⚽ | Josimar Alcócer · Westerlo |
| 78' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Oluwaseun Adewumi · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 25 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| coach days | 47.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1650.19 | 1533.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.32 | -2.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.74 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 1.14 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.26 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 22.92 | — |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.39 |